Mid and Small Cap Stock Trends Nov 2024

27th Nov 2024

JainMatrix Investments, a Research Analyst firm, is pleased to present a note on Mid and Small Cap Market Trends. We have done some research and here are the key findings:

  • The Sensex peaked recently at 85,900 (26Sep) and then fell to 77,100 (21Nov), a fall of 10.2%. For the NIFTY Midcap 100 the fall has been sharper at 11.7%, over the same period.
  • The fall can be described as a recovery to better valuations, and investors can look at starting (or continuing) with equity investments and SIPs at these levels.
  • Our rating and ranking of attractive sectors is:
    • Financials (Bank / NBFC)
    • Power sector
    • Auto and Auto Ancillary (manufacturing)
    • Infotech
    • Consumer QSR,
    • Also travel, tourism and hospitality, pharma and healthcare.
  • Investing Trends: The trends we notice are:
    • Valuations have corrected sharply, but are not cheap yet.
    • However, valuations can remain expensive for extended periods, as we saw in 2004-07, and if they do not get excessive, it should not inhibit investors.
    • Mfg. and IT services can have an export component, the rest are more domestic-focused
    • From 2021 till recently, we have not had big broad corrections, but several waves of sectoral rises and micro-corrections, such as Infotech, Speciality Chemicals, Defense, PSUs, Shipyards and Rail stocks.
    • These cycles have in aggregate kept valuations in check.
    • IPOs too may now become more sober in terms of pricing and valuations, but this route continues to work, and throw up exciting companies, and encourage risk-taking promoters and Private Equity/startup investors.
  • We do not want to choose or trade-off between Large-cap, Mid-cap and small-cap stocks.
  • Large caps have had a big correction as the FIIs pulling out have been more invested in these.
  • Mid-caps present the potential ideas, and if they scale, they are the large caps of tomorrow (and good investments too).
  • Small caps are a higher risk and potentially higher return play and investors with such a risk appetite can look for success here. However, these need deeper primary research as firms are not very good at communicating their story and progress, and may even be secretive.

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