Indian Markets, Over or Undervalued? – A discussion

Summary: In this note, we debate on the current levels of the Indian markets, using several well-known ratios, in the context of local and global events. We are perhaps continuing from my previous Outlook article – Equity Outlook, Nov’20: Rising like a Phoenix from the Ashes

Introduction

  • The Markets are at an all-time high as Nifty crossed 17,000 levels and Sensex 58,000 levels. However, the Indian markets have been quite volatile in the last 2 years.
  • In this note we try to debate and understand the causes and effects, and if the markets are Overvalued or Undervalued at these levels.
  • Here are 20 year and 2 year charts of Nifty. Over 20 years, the Nifty has gained at 15.4% CAGR. Fig 1.
  • In Mar’20, the market fell sharply by 39% due to Covid fears, but recovered thereafter See Fig 2.

Fig 1 and Fig 2: Nifty (Source tradingview) – All charts are clickable

PROS: Reasons why the Indian Stock Market is Overvalued

1. The Covid pandemic has affected the Indian economy, yet the markets are booming.

  • The GDP growth in FY21 was -8%. In the second wave of May-July this year too the social and economic impact was hard. Inspite of this, the stock markets have risen. So, until the economy recovers, markets certainly look overvalued.

2. High P/E ratio of Nifty, as well as Midcap and Smallcap indices

  • PE of nifty was recently as high as 42 times, and even today at 28 times means that investors are paying ₹28 for ₹1 of earnings. See Fig 3. Before the 2008 market crash, Nifty PE ratio was 28.29.
  • Historically, a Nifty PE ratio of more than 25 means the Indian market is overvalued. 
  • Due to pandemic, there has been a fall in earnings of companies, even as the stock market rose. This was one of the main reasons why Nifty 50 touched life time high. For example, Reliance Ind. and TVS have shown steady growth but there has been a steep fall in earnings of companies like ONGC, Maruti Suzuki etc. which caused a large increase in Nifty PE ratio.
  • Cash influx by FIIs. During the pandemic, Central banks of USA and Europe printed cash in trillions as stimulus. The US Fed reduced interest rate to as low as 0.25%. FIIs started investing some of the cash in emerging markets like India for growth opportunities.
Fig 3: Nifty PE

3. Market Cap to GDP Ratio

  • This ratio is sometimes referred to as the Buffet indicator. It is a good way to check if the market is overvalued or undervalued compared to its past historical average.
  • Historically India’s Market cap to GDP ratio is 75%. A ratio of 100% is a sign of an expensive market.
  • Before the stock Market crash of 2008, the market cap to GDP was 103%.
Market Cap / GDPInterpretation
85% < ratio < 101%Moderately overvalued
Ratio >101%Significantly overvalued
Today’s level103% indicates Nifty is overvalued

4. Stock Market in a Bubble

  • In India, investors seem to be in a frenzy and attracted to the stock markets. Total Demat accounts have doubled in the last 2 years. What started as a hobby and pass-time during the lockdown, also encouraged by mobile apps by stock brokers, has grown into a massive wave. The IPOs are getting highly oversubscribed.
  • According to RBI, prices of risky assets have surged across many countries and have touched record high levels during 2020-21 on the back of unparalleled levels of monetary and fiscal stimulus.
  • The US Fed said the turn in market sentiments “following positive news on the development of and access to vaccines and the end of uncertainty surrounding US election results” were some of the major factors that led to increased valuation of global equities, also reflecting in Indian markets.
  • This asset price inflation in the context of 8% contraction in GDP in FY21 poses the risk of a bubble.

5. Debt to GDP Ratio

  • The central govt. total debt/ GDP at end of FY21 was 58.73%. High ratio indicates that the market is highly leveraged. During 2008 the ratio was highest and was 58.86%.
  • In a similar way, India’s total public debt (Centre and States) is likely to touch 90% of GDP in FY21, the highest ever recorded. In 2019-20, the total public debt to GDP ratio was 70%.
Fig 4: Debt to GDP ratio

6. Nifty Price to Book Value

  • It is the proportion of price to assets you own when you buy shares of a company.
  • The average long term Nifty PB is 3.5. Majority of the time, Nifty PB stays in the range 2-4 range.
  • It hit a peak of 6.55 during 2008.
If PB greater than  4Expensive
Between 2.75 – 3.5Fairly priced
Less than 2Cheap
Currently  PB ratio4.25

7. The monetary and fiscal stimulus has to end, followed by Global Tightening

  • With some recovery, the Fed and other Central Govts. have to draw back on the easy liquidity, raise interest rates, and the Indian stock markets will crash.
  • This is a likely scenario, but we cannot say if this will happen in the next quarter or next 4 years.

CONS: Reasons why the Indian Stock Market is still Undervalued

1. Reforms in the Indian Economy

  • A series of reforms in the last decade such as IBC, RERA, GST, crackdown on Black Money and investments in Digital and Fintech have happened and the benefits of these are unfolding.
  • Growth initiatives like ‘Make in India’ and ‘PLI for manufacturing’ have set the stage for higher employment, reduced imports and a stronger economy and self-sufficiency.
  • Govt. initiatives like controlling deficits, import substitution (in defense and monetization of gold assets) have strengthened the domestic economy.
  • The Digital Transformation of Indian Stock Markets, and the fall from grace of Indian Real Estate for investments.

2. The China + 1 Situation

  • The trade and political tension between USA and China has changed the equations in the last few years. USA had become dependent on China for a lot of manufactured products. With changing equations, it has become necessary for global firms to look at alternatives for manufacturing at scale. India is positioning itself as a good alternative by the Make in India and Production Linked Incentives (PLI) in manufacturing, extending from electronics, chemicals, defense, textiles, auto, etc.
  • In capital markets, China recently cracked down on several domestic sectors like steel, education, ecommerce, fintech, etc. Many foreign investors lost money as the changes in business ground rules were sudden and unexpected and based on China’s authoritarian system. China may thus become an unattractive option for global capital, and India may emerge as a stronger alternative.
  • These situations can result in India attracting high FDI and FII capital in the next few years.  

3. Because of Covid, many domestic sectors were affected, but are recovering fast

  • Sectors such as Travel & Tourism, passenger transportation, Hotels, Restaurants, Auto, mfg., Real Estate & construction are sectors still below pre-Covid levels. Banks have also suffered. All these sectors are expected to recover in 1-2 years, which will help improve earnings of the sectors.
  • The IMF has put India’s growth forecast as 9.5% for fiscal 2022 inspite of the second wave of Covid during Apr-Jun‘21. Chief Economic Adviser K V Subramanian said the economy is expected to stabilize to 8% growth in subsequent years.
  • Strong economic growth will drive up the Earnings, and reduce the high valuations of the market. Already we can see that the Nifty PE has fallen from 42 to 29 in just 2 quarters as the economy improves earnings and recovers from Covid, see Fig 3.
  • With better earnings, the high P/E ratio of Nifty, as well as Midcap and Smallcap indices will correct.

4. High Exports growth

  • India’s exports are growing very well in the last few quarters, in sectors such as gems and jewellery, petroleum, chemicals and engineering. The indications are of an economic revival in India and the country is on track to achieve $400 billion of goods exports this financial year and attract high FDI in FY22.
  • India’s foreign exchange position has strengthened in the context of the pandemic and India has been growing forex reserves at a record pace.
  • The INR has strengthened in the last few quarters, while there was a broad decline in the USD after the Fed Chairman said more progress was needed in the economy to withdraw stimulus.

5. Covid fears reducing, and global economy in a rebound

  • The second wave of Covid is receding in India. A third wave is possible, but we have already seen that the second wave was handled well by the administration and industry.  
  • Vaccination is scaling up in India and should cover a majority of the population soon. This will allow free movement of people, a return to work, and ensure a rapid recovery of the economy.
  • Post covid, the global travel will recover. Meanwhile in India IT based services and manufacturing are ramping up and supplying consumers in a global recovery.
  • A massive migration of workers in India from Urban centers to villages, is slowly reversing as jobs beckon across construction, logistics and retail. Education centers and offices are also reopening.
  • The high Market Cap to GDP Ratio may correct if the GDP rises as expected in next few years.
  • The Stock Market appears in a Bubble but it is in fact recovering from many years of under penetration of equity and slow growth. A new generation of younger investors are more optimistic and positive in their thinking.
  • The fiscal deficit would remain elevated over the next two years but the debt to GDP ratio is expected to stabilize or flatten out.
  • The private sector has been underinvested in Capacity and Capex in the last decade. With lower interest costs and higher growth expected, the private sector is making capex plans. If the trend accelerates, the Price to Book Value will reduce.
  • The stock market is forward looking. It anticipates higher GDP and growth in the next few years, and the Nifty levels reflect this optimism.

Conclusion

  • As an investor in the Indian markets over the last 15 years, I have always believed in the growth story and the resilience of the market. At around $1947, the Indian per capita income is low. Given the freedom, global connects and govt. initiatives, the economy should be able to achieve over 7% GDP growth over the next few years. Except for the informal sector and unlisted space, much of this growth should translate into gains for the stock markets in India.
  • The Indian economy has been reset by the Covid infection. However most businesses have been able to adjust and adapt to it in terms of prevention and resolution. It’s not business as usual any longer. The people and businesses are back, stronger than ever, and with a new urgency.
  • Assuming a full recovery for the economy over the next year and good growth thereafter, the markets will stay positive. Given the context of excellent liquidity, low interest rates and a benevolent, growth oriented, stable policy environment, the Indian markets can continue to rise.
  • Markets are unpredictable in the short term, but participants and investors can expect good returns in a 3-5 year period horizon.  

Disclaimer

This document has been prepared by JainMatrix Investments Bangalore (JM), and is meant for use by the recipient only as information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of JM. It should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, JM has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the same. Neither JM nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accepts any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The suitability or otherwise of any investments will depend upon the recipient’s particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from an Investment Advisor. Punit Jain is a registered Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. JM has been publishing equity research reports since Nov 2012. Any questions should be directed to the director of JainMatrix Investments at punit.jain@jainmatrix.com.

Nestle India – Healthy Food, but High Valuations

  • Date: 02nd Sept 2021
  • CMP: ₹19,950
  • Industry: Food & Beverages
  • Large Cap: ₹1,88,000  cr. mkt cap
  • P/E:  82.46 times and P/B: 88 times
  • HOLD with a Jan’24 target of ₹26,400, a 33% gain in 2.5 years.

Summary

  • About Nestle: in India since 1912, Nestle has brands like Cerelac, Nescafe, Maggi, Milkybar, Kit Kat, Bar-One, Milkmaid and Nestea. With 8 mfg. locations, it primarily makes products in house. The premium products are widely distributed. Nestle revenue in CY20 was ₹13,290 cr. & profits ₹2,082 cr. Revenues, EBITDA and PAT have grown at 10%, 12.2% & 12.6% CAGR over 8 years. Nestle is investing in capex of ₹2,600 cr. over the next 3-4 years, to augment capacities and locations. Innovation is impressive with several launches planned.
  • Risks: 1) High valuations 2) intense competition 3) regulatory challenges 4) raw material price volatility 5) a new event like the ‘Maggie crises’.
  • Opinion: Given high valuations, we suggest HOLD with a target of ₹26,431 by Jan’24, a 33% gain.

The Investment research report is available for download, do read our insightful research in PDF format here.

Disclaimer

This document has been prepared by JainMatrix Investments Bangalore (JM), and is meant for use by the recipient only as information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of JM. It should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, JM has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the same. The basis for Target Price is a target P/E of 77.5 times, management commentary and analyst judgement. Punit Jain has no position or shareholding in Nestle India. In addition, JM has no known financial interests in Nestle India or any related group. Neither JM nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accepts any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of Investments can go down as well. The suitability or otherwise of any Investments will depend upon the recipient’s particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from an Investment Advisor. Punit Jain is a registered Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. JM has been publishing equity research reports since Nov 2012. Any questions should be directed to the director of JainMatrix Investments at punit.jain@jainmatrix.com.

RACL Geartech – Gearing up for Growth

JainMatrix Investments presents an Investment Report on RACL Geartech Ltd.

  • 16th Aug 2021
  • CMP: 482
  • Sector: Auto Ancillary
  • Small Cap – Mkt cap of 520 Cr.
  • Advice:  BUY with a May 2023 target of ₹740, a 54% gain in 2 years

Summary

  • The Auto & Auto ancillary sectors in India are a fast growing & globally competitive.
  • Why RACL: It has a good client roster and a high quality perception in automotive gears. RACL works closely with customers to develop new products per specifications, and so should have sticky relationships, and be able to grow with its clients. Older clients have worked as strong reference for RACL, for new clients. The business segment mix indicates a lower cyclicity in revenues. While revenues are small at ₹204 crores, there is ample room to grow for RACL.
  • Why Now: In the last 3 years, RACL has grown much faster than the domestic industry. It has customers in India and abroad, and in fact exports are higher. RACL is undertaking high capital expenditure, of ₹50 Cr. preparing for visible high growth.
  • RACL looks overvalued, but a high growth in the next 3-4 years easily justifies a BUY at CMP.
  • Key Risks: 1) Covid related disruptions, in the factories as well as customer demand 2) High receivables 3) Client concentration 4) Rising commodity prices can impact margins.
  • Opinion: BUY with a May 2023 target of ₹740, a 54% gain in 2 years

Other Auto sector reports

RACL Geartech – Description and Profile

  • RACL Geartech Ltd. is a leading automotive gear manufacturer located in New Delhi.
  • In FY’21, RACL had an income of ₹203.61 Cr. from Revenue as compared to ₹212.33 Cr. in FY’20. RACL PAT is ₹23.38 Cr. as compared to ₹16.98 Cr. in FY’20. See Fig 1(a).
  • RACL is engaged in the business of making auto components like transmission gears and Shafts, Sub-assemblies, Precision Machined Parts and Industrial Components.
  • RACL has mfg. units is located in Gajraula and Noida. Current Capacity utilization is 70-75%.
  • Export sales of the RACL rose to 67.05%. Customer segments are mapped in Fig 1(b).
  • RACL has invested over 74 Cr. in developing its mfg. unit stretched across an area of 8000 sq mts and comprising machines and equipment.
  • RACL has already procured machinery and technology for BS6 & EV, which will allow the firm to smoothly transition into the new technologies.
  • RACL has a long list of satisfied clients in countries like Japan, Germany, Italy, Switzerland, Austria, Thailand, UAE & Sri Lanka. See Fig 2(a).
  • RACL is doing a 50 Cr. capex to venture into new segments i.e. EV, industrial gears for electrical switch gears, circuit breakers, winches and cranes. Auto Ancillary companies can do an Asset Turnover of 3-4X on fixed asset. The new capex can generate additional revenue of 200-250 Cr.
  • RACL has 25 acres of surplus land within its existing plants, which can facilitate future capex.
  • RACL is known for its high performance products, it has proven capabilities to achieve up to DIN grade 7 & JIS grade 4 gear accuracies with gear shaving process. See Fig 2(b).
  • RACL has capabilities to produce complex gears & shafts up to DIN grade 5 or JIS grade 2 gear accuracies with state of the art FASSLER gear power honing process. (DIN is the short form for Deutsche Institut für Normung, or the German Institute for Standardization. On the other hand, JIS stands for Japanese Industrial Standards).
  • RACL gives importance to quality, this uncompromising stand for excellence has been recognized and been awarded with ISO TS 16949 and ISO 14001 certifications.
  • Current shareholding are Promoters 53%, MF/FII 0.1%, Retail/Individual 28.25%, HNI/Individual 6.49%, Other Public  11.84% and Others 0.01%.
  • Key Leaders: Gursharan Singh (Age 59, CMD), Dev Raj Arya (Age 70, Director & CFO), Narinder Paul Kaur (Age 58, Non Exe. Non Ind. Director), Raj Kumar Kapoor (Age 67, Ind. director).

The rest of the report is available as a download, see PDF –

Do read our insightful research, we attach the complete Investment report in PDF format here.

Disclosures and Disclaimer

This document has been prepared by JainMatrix Investments Bangalore (JM), and is meant for use by the recipient only as information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of JM. It should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, JM has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the same. Punit Jain has no personal shareholding in RACL Geartech Ltd. as on Aug 2021. In addition, JM has no known financial interests in RACL or any related firm. Neither JM nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accepts any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The suitability or otherwise of any investments will depend upon the recipient’s particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from an independent expert/advisor. Punit Jain is a registered Research Analyst (SEBI Registration No. INH200002747) and compliant with SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. Any questions should be directed to the director of JainMatrix Investments at punit.jain@jainmatrix.com.

Cryptocurrency – Or is it a CryptoCommodity?

Date: 16th June 2021

Summary

  • There is an excitement around Cryptocurrency (CCS) – a combination of high potential gains, high tech backbone, a novelty, and a rebelliousness, that has attracted investors and driven demand. While initial purchases were by professional traders, speculators, crooks and gamblers, the ecosystem and exchanges have been helping to simplify and popularize it.
  • The success of an asset class like CCS will be largely driven by regulations, and demand – supply. Regulations are now by and large benign. So far the demand has exceeded supply, but in June 2021 we are in a very positive investing cycle across stocks, commodities and CCS. A reversal will challenge CCS price trends.
  • If the two major issues around CCS of – 1) too many coins options and 2) high wastage of electricity for CCS mining and processing – are addressed, CCS has the potential to become a widely used and stable currency.
  • Until this happens, CCS has characteristics closer to global commodities, hence our term, CryptoCommodity.
  • Investing now into CCS is for professional traders, those with a high risk appetite, and who can see as much as a 50% fall in value, at least temporarily. Some experts suggest a maximum 5% of investible funds to be allocated to this asset class.
  • Past report on Cryptocurrency available A Note on Cryptocurrency

Introduction

  • The story of cryptocurrency (CCS) and blockchain technology began in the year 2008 when the globe was going through the financial crisis. We saw the fall of Lehman brothers, rising unemployment, and the bubble burst. Meanwhile, Satoshi Nakamoto founded bitcoin which was the first decentralised currency in the world valued at $0.0008, which is currently trading at $38,700. Also see Market caps of Coins in Fig 1a.
  • In the past 12 years of CCS market, many new coins were introduced that have almost disappeared. On the other hand, Dogecoin that was promoted by Elon Musk, helped it to rally very high just by his tweets.

Fig 1a- Market Capitalization in USD B / and Fig 1b – Volatility of Asset classes

  • CCS are digital currencies that utilize blockchain technology to provide improved security, anonymity, and decentralization. There is no central authority for CCS, and no third parties needed to facilitate transactions.
  • In Fig 1b, we compare Bitcoin with Gold and US equities in terms of volatility and drawdowns over 10 years. Bitcoin has the highest drawdowns, showing that it is more risky. 
  • Transactions are highly secure and independent. The most famous CCS, the blue chip cryptos, are Bitcoin and Ethereum. They have market capitalizations of ₹50.3 lakh crore and ₹22.6 lakh cr. resp.
  • Bitcoin, Ethereum and Dogecoin have rallied 2.7X, 9.4X and 133X resp. in a one year time frame. See Fig 2a.
  • CCS offers more confidential transactions with least transactions fees involved and provides more lucrative opportunities for easier international trade.
  • But CCS has some adverse effect on environment in terms of consumption of more power and electricity for mining which made Tesla to withdraw from Bitcoin as a payment option.
  • Even though CCS is decentralised, but they are still several powerful operators, who can manipulate the prices, and we can see huge dips and bounces in the market.

Fig 2a – BTC movement last 5 years and Fig 2b – In 1 year (Sources – Statista and Coinbase)

Recent News and Events

  • Recently RBI had issued notices to banks which gives relief to Indian crypto investors, allowing transactions in CCS but it needs to be regulated under KYC, Anti money laundering and combination of Financing of terrorism, Prevention of money laundering Act (2002).
  • The El Salvador Congress on June 9 approved a bill making the world’s largest CCS, Bitcoin, legal tender in the country. The Central American country is now the first ever to make Bitcoin legal tender.
  • Last month US CCS exchange Coinbase successfully listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. This listing could stabilize CCS, change the perceptions of individuals and make the future bright for the industry. Coinbase also faces competition from Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, as well as decentralized exchanges like Uniswap, which handle more trading activity than Coinbase.
  • U.S Treasury calls for stricter CCS compliance with IRS as they pose tax evasion risk. Treatment of this in India is unclear. GoI has constituted a panel to develop crypto regulations for India.
  • China has taken a decision to ban financial institutions and payment companies from providing services for crypto transactions and has warned investors against speculation and volatility. This news led to bitcoin falling 50% from the years high to the lowest since February, See Fig 2a and 2b.
  • With the initial few CCS taking off, many new coins were being introduced in the form of ICOs (Initial Coin Offers). However this market became frothy and by Nov 2017, there were around 50 ICO offerings a month.
  • Indian blockchain start-up Polygon, is the first well structured, easy to use platform for Ethereum scaling which aims to provide faster and cheaper transactions on Ethereum. Mark Cuban a US based entrepreneur has invested an undisclosed amount in the Polygon Matic coin, which hit a new high market cap of $14 B.
  • Tesla allowed Bitcoin as payment option for purchasing vehicles, but later Elon Musk removed the option as there was significant increase in mining of the CCS after his announcement.
  • As technical outlook remains positive and strong, Bitcoin is expected to reach $4,00,000 level in 2021 as per Bloomberg. Many investors have added an exposure to CCS as a small part of their assets.

CRYPTO v/s GOLD

  • Gold is a traditional global store of value; Cryptos are new
  • Gold is physically heavy, difficult and costly to transport; CCS are instantly transferred
  • Country wise restrictions or taxes for import or export; CCS are digital and generally permitted
  • Gold is well established and regulated; CCS has low to medium clarity on rules and regulations
  • A rise in gold prices over the past 50 years; CCS/ Bitcoin has seen massive rally over last decade
  • Gold has been a protection against large risks like war and infection; also provides safety against inflation
  • CCS is itself volatile, so is not yet a safe store of wealth, but more is itself a high risk, potentially high gain asset
  • CCS can in future become a major threat to gold in global wealth and savings

CRYPTO v/s CURRENCIES like USD or INR

  • Cryptocurrency is weak as a currency due to high volatility.
  • Central banks stabilize their currencies and hedge against other asset classes to smoothen the spikes. Year on year movements reflect Trade balances and the strengths of their economies.
  • However CCS is increasing being accepted for purchasing on websites and as a medium of exchange. 
  • But it is right now being used as a speculative investment by itself.
  • CCS may evolve in time as a store of value and as an alternative to other stores of value.

CRYPTO v/s COMMODITIES like Crude Oil, Steel or Copper

  • The volatility of CCS can be compared to some global commodities.
  • Global commodities have supply restricted by mining and mfg. constraints and fluctuate in line with demand and supply.
  • Trading of global commodities happens rapidly on global exchanges but fulfilment and logistics to back the transactions of course require time.
  • Global commodities have an inherent utility and so trading of these is essentially the matching of producers with consumers, with a small fraction of speculative trading also happening.

Top Cryptocurrencies to invest in 2021

  • There are by now a large number of CCS, see Fig 3a below for a list.
Fig 3a – Cryptos
  • Of the options, we share a suggested ordered list of CCS for traders.
  1. Bitcoin
  2. Ethernum
  3. Cardano
  4. Ripple
  5. Polkadot
  6. Bitcoin Cash
  7. Tron
  8. VeChain

How to invest in cryptocurrency in India

  • There are lot of India available platforms like WazirX, CoinDCX Go and Coinswitch Kuber, etc. An investor can download the app, open an account by providing personal details, identity proof like Aadhar or PAN card. These apps are available in Play store and Appstore. Once the account is verified, the customer can link their bank account and add money to the wallet in the app using Mobikwik or bank transfer. See Fig 3b.
  • Once the balance reflects in the wallet, the customer can purchase coins available by just clicking to buy.
  • Purchased coin will be shown under My Investments. The platforms are user friendly and simple to navigate. See Fig 3c.
Fig 3b – Payment Transfer and Fig 3c – Buy the coin

Key Advantages & Disadvantages

Opinion and Outlook

  • There is an excitement around CCS – a combination of high potential gains, high tech backbone, a novelty, and a rebelliousness, that has attracted investors and driven demand. While initial purchases were by professional traders, speculators, crooks and gamblers, the ecosystem and exchanges have been helping to simplify and popularize it.
  • The success of an asset class like CCS will be largely driven by regulations, and demand – supply. Regulations are now by and large benign. So far the demand has exceeded supply, but in June 2021 we are in a very positive investing cycle across stocks, commodities and CCS. A reversal will challenge CCS prices.
  • If the two major issues around CCS of – 1) too many coins options and 2) high wastage of electricity for CCS mining and processing – are addressed, CCS has the potential to become a widely used and stable currency.
  • Until this happens, CCS has characteristics closer to global commodities, hence our term, CryptoCommodity.
  • Investing now into CCS is for professional traders, those with a high risk appetite, and who can see as much as 50% fall in value at least temporarily. Some experts suggest a maximum 5% of investible funds to be allocated to this asset class.

Disclaimer

This document has been prepared by JainMatrix Investments Bangalore (JM), and is meant for use by the recipient only as information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of JM. It should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any Cryptocurrency or related app. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, JM has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the same. Punit Jain has no cryptocurrency assets as on date. Neither JM nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accepts any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The suitability or otherwise of any investments will depend upon the recipient’s particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from an Investment Advisor or cryptocurrency specialist. Punit Jain is a registered Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. JM has been publishing equity research reports since Nov 2012. Any questions should be directed to the director of JainMatrix Investments at punit.jain@jainmatrix.com.

A Portfolio of Good Medicine

Dear Investors,

Which Industry, other than IT Services, is India globally competitive?

In which industry are Indian products of high quality and reasonable cost on a global scale?

Which is the sector likely to do extremely well given today’s uncertainties?

The answer is – the Indian Pharma Sector.

JainMatrix Investments identified the pharma sector as attractive as the nation turns its attention to healthcare, hospitals and vaccines.
The Indian pharma firms have also been in focus globally, and the gates are opening slowly for these firms to win new markets, supply drugs & medicines and discover new cures.

We have made a report, Indian Pharmaceutical Sector – Good Medicine. Our report covers the following:

  • The progress of Indian pharma.
  • Why this sector is at an inflexion point in terms of global growth
  • Why this industry is globally competitive
  • The large cap and mid cap firms of interest
  • We benchmark a selection of the firms on financial parameters, across Large cap and Mid cap players. We sieve through them to find the preferred picks.
  • We map the share price performance of these firms over several years.
  • We provide a high quality portfolio of six firms of the Sector, 3 from large caps and 3 from mid caps, for investors.

Offer of the Month

  • Buy the JainMatrix Investments annual subscription for a special offer @ ₹15,999 (normal rates ₹16,999)
  • Get the Indian Pharma Sector report free along with the Welcome Kit and high performing Model Portfolios.
  • It includes a whole year of guidance on direct equity investing in Indian Markets. This offer is valid only for May 2021 as a special summer offer. See details
  • To take this offer, transfer in above offer amount on https://jainmatrix.com/payment-options/
  • Send a SMS message – Summer of ’21 Pharma offer/ your name to 9886110032.
  • Give us a day or two to contact you to start.

Happy investing !!

Regards,

Punit Jain – Founder, JainMatrix Investments

Disclaimer – While the offer is open in May ’21, we reserve our rights and may decline it in case our marketing objectives are not fulfilled.

How will you start?

upstox says

Sounds good, but

Not Sure?

Don’t take a Chance

– 8 years track record in equities

– Buy the quality stocks of 3 portfolios:

– Large Cap, Mid & Small Cap, Satellite

– One year Subscription for help & guidance

Click on PRICING AND PAYMENT OPTIONS to start right away !!

DISCLAIMER

JainMatrix Investments based in Bangalore (JMI) is an independent equity research firm started by Punit Jain. Content in this website should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them. JainMatrix Investments has been an equity investment adviser commercially since Nov 2012, and is a SEBI certified and registered Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. Any questions should be directed to him at punit.jain@jainmatrix.com

Happy Holi – and we present the new, colourful Satellite Portfolio Mar 2021

We wish our readers a very safe and happy Holi !! 

On this occasion, we are proud to launch our refreshed – Satellite Model Portfolio.

JainMatrix Investments has had super success with Model Portfolios over the last 9 years. Our experience of researching over 100 firms in this period has thrown up a number of exciting opportunities.
Particularly in this post Covid economy, we see several exciting opportunities from beyond the CORE – LC or MSC model portfolios.



With this, we have relaunched the Satellite Model Portfolio. This has the following characteristics:It has 8 High Quality Investment Ideas with a 6-12 months minimum Investment Horizon.

This is an independent, Multi-Cap Portfolio with firms from different sectors.

This Opportunistic portfolio is chosen on the basis of deep fundamental research and High Conviction by the JainMatrix Research Analyst.

As Subscribers, you will receive the list of 8 stocks and introduction notes outlining them and providing the key reasons why we like them. We will also monitor and maintain this Portfolio and guide you on your Investment in it. 
In addition Subscribers will receive exclusive access to high quality investment reports, including

  1. Market Trends and event notes
  2. IPO/ FPO/ OFS/ NFO reports based on opportunities.
  3. Periodic updates on the Satellite Model Portfolio with any change in stocks if required.
  • The subscription will be initiated with a welcome call for introductions and Service detailing.  
  • Email and WhatsApp based queries can be addressed to JainMatrix Investments on the recommended stocks, portfolios and Investment Decisions
  • The Satellite Model Portfolio Service is a part of the Investment Service – Core Portfolio
  • Pricing can be checked on Pricing and Payment Options page. 

Our Investment Service (Core Portfolio) has fetched outstanding results over this period. (See Track Record).
Here’s to your Happy and profitable investing.

Regards,
Punit Jain 
JainMatrix Investments, Bangalore

DISCLAIMER

This document has been prepared by JainMatrix Investments Bangalore (JM), and is meant for use by the recipient only as information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of JM. It should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, JM has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the same. Neither JM nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accepts any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The suitability or otherwise of any investments will depend upon the recipient’s particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from an Investment Advisor. Punit Jain is a registered Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. JM has been publishing equity research reports since Nov 2012. Any questions should be directed to the director of JM at punit.jain@jainmatrix.com.