Engineers India FPO – A Value BUY

  • Date – 29th Jan 2016; Issue Period: today, one day only
  • CMP: Rs 194; FPO Floor Pricing: Rs 189/share. Retail gets a 5% discount
  • Mid Cap – Mkt Cap 6500 crores
  • Advice: Investors can BUY with a 2 year perspective

Summary

  • Engineers India is a PSU Mini Ratna engaged in providing engineering and technical services and turnkey projects for the Oil & Gas sector since 1965. It has broadened its activities to related areas. With a HQ in Delhi, company has branches offices in India and abroad.
  • EIL’s growth slowed in the last few years, in line with a slowdown in investments in the sector.
  • However we feel that with the end of the subsidy regime in Indian Oil & gas, and the fall in crude oil prices, the sector is in a turnaround situation. Firms are seeing good refining margins, marginal subsidy issues and robust demand. They are gearing up for capacity and technology upgradation.
  • While revenue and profits at EIL have fallen in 3 years, the share price too fell proportionally.
  • EIL has conservatively preserved cash, built additional capabilities and new growth areas and is poised to recover financially as the sector turns around.
  • Overall Opinion: We feel EIL is a value BUY for investors in this FPO.

Here is a note on the Engineers India Ltd (EIL) Follow on Public Offer (FPO).

FPO Offer

  • The FPO floor price is Rs 189 per share; Applicants may apply at this price, or above, or at Cut Off.
  • There is a 5% discount for Retail investors. 20% of the FPO offer is reserved for Retail.
  • Issue date is Feb 29th Jan, 2016 between 9.15 am to 3.30 pm.
  • The govt. has proposed to sell 3.36 cr equity shares (10%) of stake through an offer for sale (OFS). The govt. is selling this to meet its FY16 divestment targets.
  • The OFS could fetch the govt. almost Rs.635 cr, based on the pricing announced today.
  • P/E as on 27th Jan, 2016 closing price is 23.5 times, which appears high.

READ AND DOWNLOAD THE ENTIRE REPORT

Here is a note on the EIL FPO in PDF format.

JAINMATRIX INVESTMENTS_ENGINEERS INDIA FPO_JAN 2016

Right Click the link above to open/ download the PDF document.

Past Report on EIL 

We have also analysed EIL in the past, see our old report from 2014.

Engineers India FPO 2014

JAINMATRIX KNOWLEDGE BASE 

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DISCLAIMER

This document has been prepared by JainMatrix Investments Bangalore (JM), and is meant for use by the recipient only as information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of JM. It should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, JM has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the same. Punit Jain has a small holding in EIL since Feb 2014. Other than this, JM has no known financial interests in EIL or any related firm. Neither JM nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accepts any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The suitability or otherwise of any equity investments will depend upon the recipient’s particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from an independent expert/advisor. Punit Jain has applied for certification under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. Any questions should be directed to the director of JainMatrix Investments at punit.jain@jainmatrix.com

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Engineers India FPO – Buy

_____________________________________________________________________________

  • Report Date 11-Feb-2013
  • CMP: Rs 151
  • Mid Cap – with Mkt Cap of 5,113 crores
  • Pricing: Rs 145-150 range, Retail gets an additional Rs 6 discount
  • Issue Period: 6-12 Feb 2014
  • Advice: Buy

Here is a note on the Engineers India Ltd  FPO (EIL).

Introduction

  • EIL is a PSU engaged in engineering consultancy and turnkey implementation of petrochemical projects.
  • Its turnover in FY13 was 2,529 crores, with profits at 632 cr. Market Cap today is 5,113 cr, at CMP 151.
  • It has 2,890 employees. The focus was Oil and Gas projects, but EIL is diversifying into new sectors like Fertilizer and LNG, Non-ferrous metallurgy, Infrastructure and Nuclear and solar energy.
  • The Delhi based firm is expanding from mostly Indian projects, to execution in MENA (middle east North Africa) and South East Asia. Additionally, offices in London, Milan and Shanghai are for international procurement and marketing.
  • The divestment of 10% of EIL shares is going on through the FPO process.

 Price Snapshot

EIL Price Profile, JainMatrix Investments

EIL Price Profile, JainMatrix Investments, Click to enlarge any image

  • Investors in EIL over the last 5 years have seen an 11% appreciation in the share price. However, the high of Rs 538 occurred in 2010 when a share split and bonus was announced. Thereafter the share has fallen steadily.
  • The dividend at 120% on a FV of 5, provides a dividend yield of 4%.
  • EIL is today available at 2009 price levels.

Financials

EIL Financials, JainMatrix Investments

EIL Financials, JainMatrix Investments

  • The Revenues, EBITDA and Profits have grown at 25%, 17% and 17% over the last 5 years. But there has been a  fall in the recent year, of FY13.
  • We can see that FY12 was a peak year with a number of projects completed here. Business appears to be falling from here. (The FY14 number is only for first 3 quarters).
EIL Business Segments, JainMatrix Investments

EIL Business Segments, JainMatrix Investments

  • Business revenues consists of Consulting and Turnkey segments. The former is steady while the latter is cyclical and dependent upon the projects completed.
  • Margins are steady and high for Consulting, but lower and variable for turnkey, dependent on the execution.
EIL Cash Flow, JainMatrix Investments

EIL Cash Flow, JainMatrix Investments

  • Cash flow has been positive but lumpy and variable.
  • Current P/E is 8.05 times, the lowest in the last 5 years.
  • Debt is zero, and cash on hand is 1848 cr (FY13). This translates to Rs 55 per share of cash.
  • A key ratio is Orders Booked to Revenues Billed. A view of this shows that the ratio is at the best level for the last 4 year period.
  • ROCE and RONW are high at 39% and 28% respectively. This is a positive indicator.
EIL Booked to Bill Ratio, JainMatrix Investments

EIL Booked to Bill Ratio, JainMatrix Investments

FPO Offer and Subscription Status

  • The IPO price band is 145-150 per share; Issue period for Retail is Feb 6-12, 2014.
  • The government holding will fall from 80% to 70%. It is selling this to meet its FY14 divestment targets.
  • As per data available till EoD Feb 10th, the offer is already 1.44 times oversubscribed. The breakup is QIB 2.33 times, Non Institutional investors 0.01 times and Retail 0.84 times.
  • P/E at upper end for the Retail offer is 7.7 times FY13.  

Overall Opinion

  • The Oil and Gas sector of India is still PSU dominated. EIL is a preferred vendor in this segment.
  • EIL is also growing rapidly in new sectors and geographies.
  • Our view is that this sector will start to do well over the next 2-3 years and EIL will be an early gainer in this revival.
  • By all indicators, in the next 2 days ie 11-12 Feb, the offer should be well oversubscribed.
  • Based on all this, EIL in this FPO is a good contrarian, value buy.
  • Investors need to have a longer 2-3 year perspective.  

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Disclaimer

This document has been prepared by JainMatrix Investments Bangalore (JM), and is meant for use by the recipient only as information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of JM. It should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, JM has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the same. Neither JM nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accepts any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The suitability or otherwise of any investments will depend upon the recipient’s particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from an independent expert/advisor. Either JM or its affiliates or its directors or its employees or its representatives or its clients or their relatives may have position(s), make market, act as principal or engage in transactions of securities of companies referred to in this report and they may have used the research material prior to publication. Any questions should be directed to the director of JainMatrix Investments at punit.jain@jainmatrix.com