The Indian Stock Markets’ 20 year Digital Transformation

Indian Stock Markets

It was about 20 years ago. I asked a relative about the stock markets. I got mixed stories.

On one hand 2-3 of their investments had done well and doubled in a few years.

On the other hand there were stories of (the Challenges)

  1. share values falling to almost zero, there were missing promoters or company locked in litigation
  2. difficult stock brokers. To know a good broker was rare. They were bullies, took your share and sold it and gave you money after a month; the transaction was opaque; you would be lucky if you only paid 4-5% commission on transactions.
  3. The stock market was famous for scams aplenty. The Harshad Mehta scam (1992), the Ketan Parekh Scam, the Satyam Scam, Saradha Scam and NSEL Scam, among other swirling stories of manipulation and operator driven shares naturally made outsiders wary. BSE had been in existence for a long time, and this was the nature of the market.
  4. A stock market transaction had a high degree of difficulty and uncertainty.

But it had piqued my interest. So a few years later when a new private bank offered me a website based stock broking account as an add on to the savings account, I went ahead and opened it.

Over the next few years, we saw a number of Equity Market Changes:

  1. The NSE came into existence with a digital trading offering
  2. Equity Shares began getting dematerialized. Once they were in Demat form, trading could be on the digital platform, quickly and cheaply
  3. SEBI as regulator began controlling and monitoring the sector’s progress
  4. A number of stock brokers came into existence, and with competition, broking commissions became reasonable.
  5. BSE and NSE had good digital backbones, so trading moved online
  6. The Mutual Fund industry took off, offering a simple entry level product for new investors
  7. Soon enough, the Equity Advisory, PMS and even AIF industries and products became available.

The digital transformation has dramatically changed Stock Market access, monitoring and information flow.

With these Equity Market industry changes, the nature of services available to the customer changed. The above Challenges were addressed:

  1. Share prices are still volatile. Some firms do fail/ go bankrupt. However, it does not happen in an information vacuum. We can track companies better today. Conversely, excellent companies do see good share price appreciation.
  2. Stock broking accounts can be opened easily. Transactions are easy, robust and transparent. Commissions are lower and competitive. Stock brokers are now much better, customer friendly and professional.
  3. Our Securities system has improved. The digital transformation has dramatically changed access, monitoring and information flow. Every scam perhaps made the system stronger eventually, as the loopholes found were blocked, (and hopefully that problem should not happen again). Of course there is no guarantee that there will not be another scam, but the stock market is a much safer place now.
  4. A stock market transaction is easily done now on websites, accessible from your PC, laptop, by phone call and even using mobile apps.

So a lot of people from my generation were afraid of the stock markets. The stories they heard from their friends and relatives were scary. Some people lost a lot of money and swore to never touch the sector again. However my message to them is:

Today the Indian Stock Markets are a very good Wealth option to all.

Its not too late. Take the plunge, and explore the stock markets for your wealth protection and appreciation.

To substantiate this, I present a simple 20 year graph of the SENSEX index

In this graph, one can see the performance of a Fixed Deposit (at 8% interest) versus the Sensex, in both absolute value and in the form of multiples.

Real Estate

The traditional Indian Wealth option has been Real Estate. People bought Land, apartments and commercial property, and waited for it to appreciate. Or developed it, and very often reaped excellent returns. For many years it appreciated very well.

Then came a couple of changes in the real estate sector:

  1. GST was brought in to track and tax real estate transactions
  2. RERA Act was brought in to make builders professional, accountable and transparent. It has been changing the way they work. Customers may finally have some protection or recourse now from builder slippages. However several builders could not change and adapt to the new rules, and may have scaled down or even closed.
  3. Several initiatives against black money have made real estate transactions more ‘white’ than they have ever been in the past.
  4. Today even after some correction, we can see that a buy v/s rent decision, for a city apartment, is still unbalanced. The EMI for an apartment purchase (with loan) is much higher than the rental cost for a similar property. In most mature markets abroad, the EMI and Rent are close or in some balance with each other.
  5. All this has resulted in a Time and Price correction in the real estate sector across categories. We can see that today this is still playing out. As a result:

Real Estate is no longer the default Wealth option it once was. Do try other options.

In 2020, 55% of adults in the United States invested in the stock market. Today in India, this is just 2%.

This is not going to change overnight for India, but as awareness builds, individuals must try and nibble at stock markets and educate themselves on its potential.

I have managed to do OK with my website based stock broking account. I became a full time investment professional in 2012. My firm JainMatrix Investments offers an equity advisory service to help invest in the stock markets. See our SERVICE DETAILS section.

Do revert to me if you have any questions on above article.

Regards,

Punit Jain

Founder, JainMatrix Investments

Glossary: I often use standard terms or shortforms so here is some explanation:

  • PMS – Portfolio management service
  • AIF – Alternative Investment Fund
  • EMI – Equated Monthly Installments, as in repayment for a loan
  • GST – Goods and Services Tax
  • RERA Act – link

DISCLAIMER

This document has been prepared by JainMatrix Investments Bangalore (JM), and is meant for use by the recipient only as information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of JM. It should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, JM has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the same. Neither JM nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accepts any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The suitability or otherwise of any investments will depend upon the recipient’s particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from an Investment Advisor. Punit Jain is a registered Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. JM has been publishing equity research reports since Nov 2012. Any questions should be directed to the director of JainMatrix Investments at punit.jain@jainmatrix.com.

A Superior Investing Process – Do a DIP SIP

Did you know that the DIP SIP is the most efficient way to invest in the stock market? We at JainMatrix Investments recommend investors to invest in equities in a Direct Equity – DIP SIP mode. Let us explain this process.

What is a DIP SIP?

A Systematic Investment Plan or SIP is a smart mode for investing money which allows you to invest a certain pre-determined amount at regular intervals (weekly, monthly, quarterly, etc.). A SIP is a planned approach towards investments where the saving habit becomes a routine. The SIP approach can be used for any investment vehicle, such as FDs, MFs, Direct Equity, etc. 

A DIP SIP is a Direct Equity SIP, where the investor invests systematically in the identified stocks. 

Why Equity investments?

Historically investments in Equity have given higher returns amongst all the other asset classes if investment was done with discipline and a long term time horizon. See an assets map where we present a number of asset classes and the Risk-Return trade off, Fig 1.

Fig 1 – Comparison of Asset Classes, JainMatrix Investments
Fig 1 – Comparison of Asset Classes (click on image to expand)

What are the benefits of an Equity DIP SIP?

  1. Direct equity allows the buyer to become a shareholder, and gains from dividends and is informed directly by the Corporates about splits, bonuses and announcements. 
  2. Ride the Volatile Equity class and reduce Risk with Rupee Cost Averaging
  3. SIP can be started with very small amount of money, and increased at a later date
  4. Timing the market is not necessary. But gains are best when markets are below all time highs.
  5. Long term financial goals can be aligned with SIP
  6. Disciplined approach towards Investment helps in controlling the emotions
  7. Investments get aligned with income flow and it becomes a regular habit

The JainMatrix Investments Companies Baskets

JainMatrix Investments launched its Large Cap Companies Basket in Dec 2012, the Mid & Small Cap MSC Companies Basket in Feb 2013 and the Satellite Companies Basket in its current form in Mar 2021. These three baskets are chosen from 120+ stocks that we have researched over the years. The main reason for three separate Baskets is to offer simple investment choices, and to align with the risk appetite of different investors.

  • The Large Cap LC Companies Basket consists of 7-8 stock picks from 7-8 different sectors. The blue chip firms chosen are high potential large caps with good fundamentals and safety. The investment period is 2-3 years. The objective is to outperform the Sensex/ Nifty every year by 2-3%. 
  • The 7 stock picks from the Mid & Small Cap MSC Companies Basket are from 4-7 high potential sectors. These firms have good fundamentals and high growth. The minimum investment period is 1-2 years. The objective is out-performance of Mid and Small cap Index benchmarks. 
  • The Satellite Companies Basket has 7 stock picks from 4-7 high potential sectors. The minimum investment period is 12-18 months. Here in addition to the fundamentals we pick firms with appreciation triggers and a visible momentum. The objective is out-performance of Mid and Small cap Index benchmarks. 

DIP SIP and equity MF SIP compared

Now that you have understood the equity SIP mode of investment, it is imperative to compare DIP SIP – investing directly in Equity with equity Mutual Funds.

1 – Expense Ratios

Investments in equity Mutual Funds are expensive in terms of the expense ratio cost incurred to the investor. Total Expense Ratio (TER) states how much you pay a MF in percentage terms every year to manage your money. This includes the fund management fee, agent commissions, registrar fees, and selling and promoting expenses. The TER that is disclosed every March and September as a percentage of the funds net assets. As you grow your investment portfolio over the long-term, a high expense ratio will eat into your returns through power of compounding. The expense ratio of equity MF’s is typically in the range of 0.5%-2.25%. See Fig 1. You do not directly pay this but it is deducted from the NAV of the MF. 

Fig 2 – TER of a sample of equity Mutual Funds

In comparison to this, the JainMatrix Investment Service has a flat annual charge.

2 – Performance

Performance varies widely for equity from year to year. Subscribers to JainMatrix Investments may compare the performance of our portfolios with their owned equity MFs or widely published equity MF performance reports and take their own call on their preferred product or service. 

3 – Control

Investors in MFs hand over the investment performance to the fund management team of the MF. They can now decide only to buy, hold or exit.

However in the case of the JainMatrix Model Portfolios, investors retain control over the purchases as the investments are in their own trading/ demat accounts. They can also follow the recommended companies as these are concentrated portfolios. This offers additional flexibility to investors for both entry and exits.

How to execute a DIP SIP?

Checklist for a Direct Market SIP:

  • You can use your current Online Stock Broking account for the DIP SIP. If you have to choose among your broker options, choose the one with lower brokerage or better ease of use. 
  • Decide on the 7-14 stocks you will invest in.
  • Decide on the amount you will invest every month – here I would suggest you fix an amount in the range of ₹ 20,000 to 1,00,000 for the DIP SIP and keep up this amount every month. The thumb rule here can be to invest 10-15% of your take home salary or 50% of monthly savings. 
  • Create a small calculation excel for helping you decide the actual number of shares to be bought. See Fig 3 – Tool for DIP SIP
  • Decide a date for investing. If you are salaried, perhaps 2nd or 3rd every month is a good date as it is right after you have received your salary. Or any other convenient date. Keep a reminder for this.

Choose Your Stocks

This is an important step. My key principles in choosing the stocks are:

  1. For a high stability low risk portfolio, choose Large Cap (LC) blue chips.  They should be Nifty/ Sensex stocks. You do not want too much volatility in this investment.
  2. For a more aggressive high risk portfolio, choose Mid & Small cap (MSC) stocks with high potential.
  3. The Satellite Portfolio is higher risk but potentially higher return group of stocks
  4. Occasionally you may add to the SIP bundle one time equity investment ideas or IPO opportunities

Subscribe to JainMatrix Investments Investment Service to receive proven, high performing portfolios

Start Investing

  • Within trading hours, choose your DIP SIP portfolio of stocks. Lets say you chose these 5 shares by mkt cap in Fig 3. 
  • Lets say you have chosen the amount ₹ 30,000 to be invested every month for your DIP SIP.
  • Create a small excel – which can help you calculate the number of shares right now. See fig 3.
  • Round off the Actual Shares from Calculation tab to come close to your ₹ 30,000 budget
JainMatrix Investments
Fig 3 – Tool for DIP SIP purchase
  • Then buy the individual shares through your broking account to execute the DIP SIP 
  • Your DIP SIP can be done in 10 minutes every month. 

Start your DIP SIP today. Subscribe to the JainMatrix – Investment Service to get our top performing Companies Baskets and recommendations and you are ready to go.

Click here to subscribeLINK

Contact us on LINK

Happy Investing!!!!!

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Disclaimer

  • Punit Jain discloses that all shares mentioned in this report are random samples/ examples chosen. These are not recommendations.
  • This document has been prepared by JainMatrix Investments Bangalore (JMI), and is meant for use by the recipient only as information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of JMI. This report should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, JMI has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the same. Neither JMI nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accepts any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. Investment in the securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing. The suitability or otherwise of any investments will depend upon the recipient’s particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from a SEBI RIA Registered Investment Advisor. JMI has been an equity investment adviser commercially since Nov 2012, and a SEBI certified and registered since 2016, under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations. Registration granted by SEBI, and certification from NISM in no way guarantee the performance of the Research Analyst or provide any assurance of returns to investors.
  • Any questions should be directed to punit.jain@jainmatrix.com. Name of the RA as registered with SEBI – Punit Jain, SEBI Registration No. INH200002747. Logo/brand name –

Announcing our launch on Investing.com

Dear Readers,

We are happy to announce our launch on the website, Investing.com. See the links

Investing.com India Home Page – http://in.investing.com/

And the Syngene IPO report: http://in.investing.com/analysis/syngene-ipo:-good-pharma-r-d-spinoff-from-biocon-2349

I believe its a very popular website. In their own words, “Investing.com is a global financial portal and internet brand composed of 23 editions in 19 languages …. Founded in 2007, Investing.com has a growing readership worldwide and is now a leading global financial portal committed to constantly launching innovative features and sections to ensure an optimal one-stop source for its readers”.

At JainMatrix Investments, ‘We are committed to build a trusted brand in Indian Investing’. Thank you for all the support.

Warm regards,

Punit Jain

DISCLAIMER

This document has been prepared by JainMatrix Investments Bangalore (JM), and is meant for use by the recipient only as information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others without prior permission of JM. It should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, JM has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the same. JM has no known financial interests in Syngene International Limited or any related firm. Neither JM nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accepts any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, statements and opinion given, made available or expressed herein or for any omission therein. Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The suitability or otherwise of any investments will depend upon the recipient’s particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from an independent expert/advisor. JM has been publishing equity research reports since Nov 2012. JM has applied for certification under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. Any questions should be directed to the director of JainMatrix Investments at punit.jain@jainmatrix.com.

Fundamental Thoughts – The Search for Stability

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Dear Investor,

One of the biggest challenges for investors is to find a few valuable firms out of the 5000+ listed companies on the Indian stock exchanges.

This search is not easy; it cannot be done very fast; I would say it is a multi-year process.

Many great investors have suggested and used many criteria, but one simple important one I have is STABILITY.

What does this mean and how does an investor implement this in his portfolio?

Embed from Getty Images

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Stability for me means a firm that:

  1. Shows a steady pattern

    on its key financials such as Revenues, EBITDA and Net Profits. This does not mean micro level steadiness such as quarter to quarter improvements. I would be more concerned about year to year steadiness, and a sense of expected things happening.

  2. Does not dilute its Equity Share Capital much

    While 10-15% dilution every 3-4 years is ok, anything much more is a worry point. All dilutions affect older investors as EPS will fall to the extent of dilution. Dilutions by Rights issue are good for shareholders as they can participate in this corporate growth. Aggressive dilutions for new acquisitions or excessive ESOPs have to be assessed for stockholder benefits. PSUs typically have Share Capitals that do not change at all over the years. Banks are an exception to this rule as they are in the business of loans and the cheapest funds are available through equity dilutions.

  3. Has Low Debt

    For a firm, an important source of funds is debt. It does not involve equity dilution. However if things are going badly for the firm, it excesses on Debt, or is unable to repay. Sectors in India like Insurance, Telecom and Infrastructure (that are at an early stage of growth) suck in cash and need a lot of debt to develop their operations and may over-leverage and have to pay high finance charges that depress profits. Check the Debt Equity ratio for your target firm. A ratio higher than 2.0 for Infrastructure firms and over 1.5 for other sectors is a Red Flag. Unless its a rare turnaround situation.

  4. No Pledging of Shares

    Promoter stability is an essential to a good equity investment. A promoter that pledges his shares exposes his firm to a situation where a fall in share price (for any reason) will trigger a sale of his shares by the lender that will accelerate the fall of prices. The possibility of this happening may be low, but the consequences are bad, so investors should check the shareholding pattern of a firm before investing.

Remember as an investor, the advantage you have is you can walk away from a share investment if it does not meet your criteria. There are many fish in the sea. And Stability is an important concept in my search for great investment ideas.

Hope you liked the idea !!

Happy investing,

Punit Jain

Founder, JainMatrix Investments

JainMatrix Knowledge Base:

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